Why Underdogs are the Smart Bet in Soccer Betting By Winder Liao
Underdog or favorite? It's a choice we make everyday throughout the Soccer season. While there are certainly times when favorites warrant our attention, my experience tells me that betting underdogs is the best way to make money in soccer betting. Here are 5 reasons why you should pay special attention to the dogs every season.
1. Not every win is created equal
Favorites Odds tends to be on the low side ranging from 1.70-1.85. It doesn't serve much value especially if you are betting big considering you risk $1000 on a singles even if you did win, you only managed a $700 to $825 profit. With a 3 bets/per day system which I'm adopting a typical scenario of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation would result in a viguorish loss of $150-$300. However if you are betting on underdogs the odds tends to range from $1.975-$2.15 with the scenario of 1 win 1 draw and 1 loss situation would result in minimal viguorish loss or more often a profit due to the value odds.
2. Underdogs don't get any respect!
They don't get it from the public, sometimes leading to higher than deserved spreads. More importantly, they don't get it from their opposition. Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly (especially if players and coaches minds are on other things, like next week's tougher opponent). Research and an understanding of historical trends can reveal great situations in which underdogs are poised for an upset.
3. The Public Can't Help Itself
The average bettor loves the popular teams (favorites), often times pushing lines unreasonably high. In fact, almost every week, with the right research, you can spot teams that should be favorites but are getting points against a popular team that has been installed as a favorite due to the public "bandwagon effect"?
4. Got Courage?
Most bettors don't have the courage to go with certain underdogs. They see a (perceived) good team versus a (perceived) bad team and assume it won't be a contest. They have formed an opinion about how horrible some teams are based on a recent blowout or past personal gambling loss. Again, with the right combination of statistical and situational research, some undervalued dogs can be spotted each week. There are also certain situations in which bad teams have historically and reliably outperformed their average. Match that with a historically-proven situation in which favorites under-perform and you have yourself a reliable upset scenario.
5.What It All Means
Obviously just playing all underdogs is not the answer (that would yield you approximately 50% wins and a negative account balance). However, with the right research, you can spot some very high-value underdog winners each week.
Best regards
Winder Liao
Winder sports
http://www.windersports.net/winderexpertsoccerpicks.htm winder expert picks - Asian handicap specialist to european soccer fixtures.http://www.windersports.net
winder sports portal - Your guide to winder's interest on spo
Exploring the G2E - I have been attending the G2E for the last several years and the show just keeps getting bigger each year. Even this year with the economic slowdown the show is...
Global Gaming Expo Starts Tuesday -
The Global Gaming Expo (G2E) is the annual trade show for the gaming industry held in Las Vegas. Each year many new slot and table games are introduced at the...
WSOP Crowns Youngest Champion - Peter Eastgate, a 22 year old from Denmark became the youngest player to win the World Series of Poker main event on Tuesday. He will collect $9.15 million for his...
Would You Publicize a Jackpot Win - I think everyone who has played a progressive slot machine has fantasized about what they would do if they won the jackpot. If you do win the jackpot there are...
World Series of Poker Final Table Underway - Finally we will get a conclusion to the 2008 World Series of Poker Action got underway Sunday. The players will play down to the final two who will play heads...
Learning the Language of Craps -
"Winner, winner, front line winner, pay the line take the don'ts. Coming out. World bets, horn bets C and E!"
A novice walking by the Craps table may get the feeling...
Casino Visit Cut Back Poll - Between the economic slowdown and the higher prices of fuel this year, the number of people visiting the casinos has decreased dramatically. Many players said they were making fewer trips...
Vote For Those Who Support Online Poker - I urge everyone to get out and vote on Tuesday. Remember if you don't vote, then you don't have the right to complain. Throughout the last year I have been...
Poker Cruncher - Apple IPhone and IPod Touch Poker Calculator - Poker Cruncher is a Texas Holdem calculator for the Apple IPhone and IPod Touch. I really like this application. When I first got my IPhone in July I had planned...
Atlantic City Council Overturns Smoking Ban - The City Council of Atlantic City voted Monday to overturn the full smoking ban that took effect 14 days ago. The measure was immediately signed into law by outgoing...
Submit your comments
Back to the main pageElrmmxve wrote:
Best Site good looking Free Porn Tuubes 8479